This article by Don McAlvany taken from his August 1990 Intelligence Advisor clearly shows that Gorbachev and Communist Russia are launching their great offensive in the Middle East.

The facts and analyses in this report by McAlvany backs up the prophecy of Our Lady of Fatima that "Russia will raise up wars ..." It also demonstrates how accurate Frère Michel's conclusions recently published in Volume II of The Whole Truth About Fatima (see this issue of The Fatima Crusader "Today Everything Depends on the Pope") that Russia is not consecrated to the Immaculate Heart of Mary as the Pope must do. Only when the Pope finally obeys this command of Our Lady will we be safe from war and annihilation. If he delays much longer "entire nations will be annihilated" as Our Lady of Fatima predicted.

Read these "eye opening" pages and discover that your freedom and security are indeed very precarious at this time. You will begin to realize that the treacherous claw of the Communist bear is closing in on you.

Our only hope is Our Lady of Fatima; "Only She can help you", the Fatima Message tells us solemnly. To better understand what this means, read Father Paul Leonard's article "Countdown to Destruction" and "Fatima is Our Only Hope" by Frère Michel. What you can do about it is explained by Father Gruner in "Is the Fatima Prophecy of "Annihilation of Nations" About to be Realized??" and Arthur Skinner's "Update from Rome".

Middle East Aflame: Oil Wars In The Persian Gulf

"Our aim is to gain control of the two great treasure houses on which the West depends: The energy treasure house of the Persian Gulf and minerals treasure house of central and southern Africa." Leonid Brezhnev, 1973.

Introduction

       On Thursday, August 2, 100,000 Iraqi troops led by 350 tanks under the command of Iraqi President Saddam Hussein invaded and conquered the tiny Persian Gulf sheikdom of Kuwait, overthrowing its government and replacing it with a puppet regime. Kuwait, with a population of two million and a 20,300-man army, was hardly a match for Iraq with a population of 18 million, a one-million-man battle hardened army, and tens of billions (of dollars worth) of Soviet military equipment.

       Kuwait, smaller than the state of New Jersey, sits atop 20% of the world's oil reserves, and had been an ally of Iraq's during the eight year Iran/Iraq war ('81-'88). Hussein's "stated" reason for the invasion was that Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates were producing oil above their OPEC quotas and thereby pushing the price of oil down. Kuwait's deposed leaders believe Hussein's goal is to dominate the entire region. With the largest and most powerful army in the Middle East, Iraq is in a position to invade Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, UAE, and dominate most of the oil reserves of the Persian Gulf. About 170,000 Iraqi troops are massed on the Saudi border at this writing.

       The Middle East volcano has been moving towards eruption for several years. The Soviets over the past decade have prepositioned almost $80-100 billion in weapons in the hands of their surrogates: Libya, Syria, Iraq, Yemen, Afghanistan and the PLO. The Soviets' terrorist surrogate, the PLO, has launched a bloody uprising in the Israeli occupied territories (the Golan Heights, Gaza, and the West Bank) and has increased its terrorist attacks on Israeli citizens in recent months. Iraq has developed an arsenal of chemical weapons which it has used on Iran and against its own Kurds, and which it now has targeted on Israel via Soviet missile warheads.

       Israel possesses nuclear weapons which it would undoubtedly use if it feels threatened, and Iraq is working feverishly to develop its own nuclear weapons. Meanwhile dozens of terrorist groups, controlling tens of thousands of fanatical terrorists, are being trained and armed in 18 terrorist training camps in Libya, Syria, Iraq, Iran, the Belbek Valley of Lebanon and the Soviet Union for attacks against Israel, Western Europe and America. Fanned by the flames of radical Islam, and orchestrated by the Soviet KGB and GRU, this terrorist army is as dangerous to the West as the Iraqi army of Saddam Hussein.

       The current upheaval in the Persian Gulf has dramatic implications for the fragile US and world economy (already sinking into recession), for US inflation and interest rates, for the price of oil, gold and the US and world stock markets. Always mistrust the obvious! The Soviets appear to be very innocent bystanders in the present crisis, but as will be discussed below, they have been the major behind-the-scenes pot stirrer in that region for over a decade, and have their own grand design for control of the Persian Gulf oil fields towards the latter part of this decade. They will find a way to capitalize on the present upheaval and to advance their own agenda.

A. Who Is Saddam Hussein?

       First it was Kadafy; then it was Khomeini; now the Middle East's most dangerous "madman" is Saddam Hussein. The son of a peasant, he committed his first murder at 14. At 20, he joined the then underground Baath Party. He tried to assassinate the then ruler of Iraq, failed and fled to Syria. Saddam rose to power in 1978 as the enforcer behind a bloody coup and took full control of the government in 1979.

       Hussein has been called an Arab Hitler. In 1980, seeing Iran in revolutionary turmoil, he attacked his larger neighbor to seize a disputed waterway and nearby oil fields. This led to an eight year war that left one million dead, 1.7 million wounded, and 1.5 million displaced as refugees. Hussein forced a cease fire by firing missiles on civilian population centers in Iran and by using poisonous gas against Iran's troops and civilians. He also gassed his own subjects — resistive Kurds. Saddam exercises near total control over Iraq's 18 million people through his vast security apparatus. The inner circle of Iraq's leadership is packed with Saddam's relatives by blood or marriage, from his extended clan from Takrit in Northern Iraq.

       Hussein has executed hundreds of his own military officers over the past decade, 40 in July, and most recently on August 4, 120 who disagreed with his invasion of Kuwait. He recently executed a British journalist and he once shot one of his own cabinet members who disagreed with him, at point blank range during a cabinet meeting.

B. How Strong Is Hussein's Iraqi Military?

       Hussein, who has just had himself designated president for life, believes that he has been ordained by Allah to be the leader of the Arab world. He has accordingly built up the largest arsenal of long-range missiles, chemical weapons, tanks, fighter aircraft and other weapons in the Middle East. Most of his weapons are Soviet, but the West German magazine Der Spiegel recently reported that dozens of West German companies have helped Iraq build rockets and chemical weapons, and assisted Baghdad in acquiring military nuclear technology. Iraq, with a million man army, has 250,000 more troops than all six of his Persian Gulf neighbors combined. Iraq's armed forces equal the combined might of Egypt and Iran and are more than double the forces of its hostile western neighbor, Syria.

       Iraq has 5,500 tanks (mostly Soviet-built), more than 700 warplanes, a 43-ship navy, and a large arsenal of armored vehicles, SAM missiles, and long-range missiles. In Kuwait, Hussein just captured 275 tanks, 260 armored cars, 40 helicopters, two squadrons of fighter planes (i.e., 34 Sky Hawks and 32 Mirages), eight ships, a large number of Soviet-made SAM 6, 7 and 8 missiles, TOW anti-tank missiles, and Sidewinder missiles. These will now all become part of Iraq's arsenal. (Iraq also raided the Kuwaiti treasury for $4 - $5 billion in gold and foreign currencies.) At this writing, Iraq is sending 18 divisions towards Saudi Arabia to join seven divisions already heading south from Kuwait City. Since the invasion, Hussein has ordered the formation of 11 new Iraqi army divisions.

Gorbachev while seen as the hero of peace making initiatives secretly supports Saddam Hussein with his 1200 Communist military advisors in Iraq and 900 Iraqi Agents training under Russian Advisors in Odessa. (U.K.S.S.R.)

C. Dangers In The Present Upheaval

       The greatest danger in the present Persian Gulf upheaval is that Iraq will attack the Saudi, UAE or Bahrain oil fields. By either occupying or blowing up these oil fields, Hussein could control, along with Iraq's and Kuwait's oil production and reserves (i.e., 5 million barrels a day), almost half of the oil production in the world. If he simply destroyed those fields and then withdrew, oil would soar to $50 a barrel overnight, oil supplies would drop by half, and the industrialized world would be plunged into a massive depression. Iraq now has its missiles in Kuwait targeted on the Saudi oil fields.

       In addition to this threat, there are a number of other grave dangers in the Middle East which exacerbate the present crisis:

       1) Massive Soviet Armaments in the region - Over the past decade the Soviets have delivered massive amounts of weaponry to the Middle East — prepositioning much of it for future Soviet military operations in the region. As a result, 7 of the 20 largest military establishments in the world are in the Middle East. There are 14 Soviet air bases in Libya which house 565 Soviet warplanes — more aircraft than in the air forces of England, West Germany or France. The Soviets have placed 16,000 tanks and armored vehicles in Libya — larger than the armored forces of England, France and West Germany combined. Why would a tiny country of only three million people such as Libya need such a vast array of armaments?

       The Soviets have placed $21 billion in weapons in Syria, over $20 billion in weapons in Iraq, over $20 billion in arms in Afghanistan, and additional billions in Yemen. The "peace loving" Soviets have just delivered $4 billion in arms to Afghanistan over the past 12 months in the biggest military airlift in world history with Soviet arms flowing into that beleaguered country at this writing at a rate of $400 million per month.

       These countries receiving these weapons are surrogates and allies of the Soviet Union. It is axiomatic that with Soviet arms come trainers, advisors, the KGB, and GRU, all of whom can be found in varying numbers in each of these Arab states. A large portion of these Soviet arms have been delivered to the Middle East since Gorbachev came to power and the present period of glasnost/perestroika began in 1985.

Our Lady came to Fatima, a village named after a Moslem who converted to the Catholic Faith. As a Moslem she was named after "Fatima" the daughter of Mohammed. The Moslems have a great respect for the Blessed Virgin and no doubt in the Triumph of Her Immaculate Heart She will also convert the Arab Nations to the true God Our Lord Jesus Christ.

       2) The Rise of Radical Islam - Beginning with the rise to power of the Ayatollah Khomeini in the late 1970s, the Middle East began to see the emergence of a radical fundamental Islamic movement which began to sweep the region — the first such movement since 700 A.D. With many sects, the most radical of which are the Shiites, this movement and its millions of adherents among 750 million Moslems in the Middle East have a number of major tenets in common:

       a) They are looking for the imminent return of the Mahdi (their savior);

       b) They hate the West, Western culture, Westerners and especially Americans and America (whom they believe is the Great Satan);

       c) They wish to replace the decadent quasi-Westernized Arab governments of the region with fundamental Moslem theocracies such as in Iran under Khomeini;

       d) They want to worship Allah in their three holy cities before they die: Mecca, Medina, and Jerusalem;

       e) Israel and Israelis must be annihilated and Palestine purged of their "evil";

       f) Infidels (anyone who is not a fundamentalist Moslem believer) are evil and must be eradicated. To die while killing infidels "guarantees" a place in their Moslem heaven and is welcomed by Islamic fundamentalist radicals.

       Today, as the Paris daily newspaper Figaro reports: "The masses are turning toward the radical Islamists. The clashes between Moslems and Christians in Egypt, the rise of the Islamic Salvation Front, the dynamism of the Hamas movement in the Israeli-occupied territories, the victory of the Moslem Brotherhood in the university elections of Jordan, all bear witness to the growing grip of the radical Islamists on Arab populations. We are seeing a race against time between nationalists and Islamists and the latter are winning."

       Not only is a giant radical Islamic movement growing up in Western Europe (numbering in the tens of millions) but this movement could soon control 50-60% of the world's oil supplies and $80-100 billion of modern, sophisticated weapons. To destroy all of the "evil" of the modern world and turn back the calendar 1000 years is at the top of their agenda.

       3) A New Hostage Crisis - America has cringed before Moslem radicals who have at various times over the past 12 years held 5, to 10, up to 50, US hostages. A few have died in captivity, one has been executed (a US Marine major), while radical Moslem terrorists have brought the mighty US and its leaders to their knees. Now Saddam Hussein, a man who would double-cross and invade his wartime ally Kuwait and precipitate and preside over the deaths of over one million people, holds 3,060 US hostages — 500 in Iraq and 2,560 in Kuwait. It's called the ultimate in leverage against America. Hussein also holds 35 British military personnel seized in Kuwait and 60 Americans held after a British Airways jumbo jet carrying 367 passengers was stranded in Kuwait during the invasion.

D. The War For Oil

       In early July, Saddam Hussein sent letters to Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates telling them to cut their oil production. Both countries had routinely exceeded the quotas assigned to them by OPEC. (The quotas were 1.5 and 1.1 million barrels per day respectively, and both countries had been pumping 2 million barrels per day for most of this year, helping to drive the average price of oil per barrel from $20.50 in early January to $13.60 in June.)

       Iraq's deputy prime minister, who hand-carried the warning to Kuwait and the UAE said the aim of these "suggested" production cuts was to drive the price of oil from $14 a barrel to $25 a barrel. Hussein accused Kuwait and the UAE of "stabbing Iraq in the back with a poisoned dagger by conspiring with the US to glut the world oil market, to keep oil prices low and wreck the Iraqi economy."

       Hussein estimates that lower oil prices, caused by overproduction, has cost Iraq, whose external debt is over $50 billion, over $14 billion in lost revenues. Iraq also charged Kuwait with stealing oil for the past decade and demanded that Kuwait compensate it for $2.4 billion in oil it alleges was pumped from an oil field straddling their border. Hussein is also demanding that Kuwait forgive the huge debt it owes to Kuwait (over $10 billion) for financial support during the Iran/Iraq war.

       With an oil output of 3.14 million barrels per day, Iraq is tied with Iran for the rank of OPEC's second largest producer. Both trail Saudi Arabia's output of 5.42 million barrels per day. If Iraq absorbs Kuwait, which has 20% of the world's oil reserves, it will become OPEC's number two producer. Iraq estimates that every $1 drop in the price of a barrel of oil costs $1 billion a year in lost revenue. So a $10 drop since last fall cost Iraq almost $10 billion. In late July OPEC, with Iraq's gun at its head, agreed to halt overproduction and to raise the cartel's target price from $18 to $21 a barrel. However, that was not enough for Hussein, who has become known as "OPEC's crude oil enforcer." Iraq's goal is to drive oil prices to $25 a barrel and keep them there! His invasion of Kuwait has accomplished that goal in the short run, and may accomplish it in the long run as well.

E. Retaliatory Options Against Iraq

       The US has frozen Iraq's assets in the US, has moved to get the rest of the world to boycott Iraqi oil, to get Turkey to shut off the oil pipeline which runs through that country, is pushing for international sanctions against Iraq and is pushing for a naval blockade of Iraq. It took several days to get Saudi Arabia to allow US troops onto its soil. For the Saudis, it's a loss of face, a sign of shame, and a violation of their Islamic code to have US troops in their country. But after looking at US spy satellite photos of Iraqi troops, tanks, missiles, and chemical weapons massing on their border, the Saudis concluded that the Americans were the lesser of the two evils.

       America has less viable military options than might be expected. It should be remembered that Iraq has one million of the world's most experienced, battle-hardened troops (after eight years of war with Iran), who are used to desert warfare, and are fighting in their own backyard — not ours. Iraq has already increased its troops inside Kuwait to 170,000 with more forces being mobilized inside of Iraq at this writing. Iraq now has 500 tanks inside of Kuwait with 300 more on their way. Chemical weapons in large quantities have been moved into Kuwait up to the Saudi border and poison gas has been seen being loaded onto combat aircraft in Iraq. Hussein is also deploying troops along his northern border with Turkey to protect his northern flank. Going to war with Iraq will not be the weekend outing which America went on when it tackled a few hundred Cuban troops in Grenada or 12,000 of Noriega's National Guardsmen in Panama, with the outcome a foregone conclusion.

       America actually had very little military presence in the Middle East as this crisis broke out, and moving large numbers of troops around the world is a time consuming and arduous task. The Pentagon has said that it will take close to a month to deploy an Army corps of two heavy (armored or mechanized) divisions to the Gulf. (Iraq already has 25 divisions in place and ready to do battle). Smaller forces, like a Marine Expeditionary Brigade (numbering about 16,000 troops), could be dispatched in about a week (including the movement of the unit and its equipment). But such a unit would be no match for Iraq's large, battle-tested army. The Bush Administration is presently talking about moving up to 250,000 US troops into the region.

       America's (and its allies') military options are as follows:

       1) An attempt to remove Saddam himself with a commando hit squad (i.e. Delta Force or Navy Seals), or a surgical air strike such as America tried against Kadafy (it failed) several years ago. The odds of success here are very low since Hussein is very well protected and, like Kadafy, moves around a great deal.

       2) Air strikes against economically vital targets in Iraq such as refineries, pipelines, power plants, as well as against Iraqi military installations. If Saddam raised the ante by attacking Saudi Arabia or Israel with missiles, or trying to torch the Saudi/Gulf oil fields or refineries, or started killing US hostages, tactical nuclear weapons or neutron weapons could be used against Iraq.

       3) Air strikes against Iraqi forces in Kuwait or Saudi Arabia, or against supply lines for Iraq if Hussein should invade. Air strikes within Kuwait would have to be surgical to prevent widespread loss of Kuwaiti lives. Unfortunately, Iraq now holds the entire Kuwaiti population hostage.

       4) Ground action using US troops. This is a very difficult option because of the preponderance of conventional forces Iraq already has in place. Fighting Iraq more or less on its own turf (i.e., in the desert), while greatly outnumbered (even with abundant US air support) would cost many thousands (perhaps tens of thousands) of American lives.

       Admiral Thomas Moorer (a hawk) and other US military strategists believe a head-to-head land war with Iraq, given the relative troop strengths, logistics, and terrain would be a losing proposition for America. Decisive use of US air power if the conflict escalates seems to be America's best military option at the moment.

       Unless Hussein relents and pulls out of Kuwait, within a few weeks America will have over 100,000 troops (and related equipment, including gas masks) in the region, several dozen warships (including the Eisenhower, Independence and Saratoga carrier groups) and several hundred warplanes. The 82nd and 101st Airborne and various National Guard units are likely to be called in. Stopping an Iraqi invasion of Saudi Arabia primarily with US air power (including hundreds of helicopter gun ships) is achievable. Blasting Hussein out of Kuwait is another thing — and is far more difficult if he decides to dig in.

       Turkey has cut the Iraqi oil pipeline to the north and at this writing the US Navy has blockaded all oil leaving Iraq via the Persian Gulf. A total trade embargo including a cutoff of food shipments to Iraq could begin to bring the country to its knees within about 90 days. Of course, Libya, Jordan, Yemen, the P.L.O., and various East Bloc countries can be expected to help to break the embargo. A long-term US naval blockade in the Persian Gulf, the Mediterranean, and assuming a continuing Turkish oil pipeline cutoff could slowly choke Iraq to death economically over 6-12 months.

       Hussein holds two wild cards: 1) a missile attack to destroy the Saudi oil fields; 2) 3,560 US hostages which he could begin to kill 1, 2, 5, 10 or 100 at a time.

F. The Israeli Factor

       No one thinks of the Israeli military as wimps. With 141,000 active duty troops and 500,000 reservists, 3,850 tanks, 575 combat aircraft, high tech air-to-air, air-to-ground, and ground-to-air missiles, and nuclear weapons, Israel is well defended and obviously has a strong will to survive. As former Defense Minister Ariel Sharon said recently in a veiled warning to Hussein, "Israel is not Kuwait." Nevertheless, Israel has always considered Iraq to be its greatest threat. Iraq was building nuclear weapons at Osirak (probably for use against Israel) in 1980 and '81 and Israel took them out with a preemptive strike in '81.

       Saddam Hussein's dream is to be the Arab leader who takes out Israel. His new long-range missiles, armed with chemical warheads and targeted on Israel, and nuclear weapons he will have built within three to five years could mean the destruction of Israel and the Israelis know it. The Israeli government has begun issuing gas masks to its citizens as well as to all military personnel since Hussein's threat to "scorch half of Israel with poison gas." Thus a preemptive Israeli strike against Iraq over the next year or so is a growing possibility.

G. The Soviet Connection

The Most Holy Family appeared at Fatima to bless all the faithful. Let us promise Jesus, Mary and Joseph to be ever more faithful to our Baptismal vows. Let us in fervent prayer at this time of world crisis beg for the Consecration of Russia so that world peace be given and the annihilation of nations be averted.

       This writer's good friend, Senator Bill Richardson (R.-CA) described the Soviet involvement in Iraq as follows:

       In spite of the saber-rattling by President Bush, the chances of the Iraqis leaving Kuwait is zero to zip. They will wait us out, comfortable in the knowledge that Bush will compromise his tough stand ... they believe it's his nature to do so. They also understand the conciliatory policy of the Bush Administration towards the Soviet Union.

       The chances of a full-scale military operation against the Iraqi forces is really "unthinkable" to the US State Department since it would cause unfriendly vibes with the Soviets. The Iraqi government has had a Friendship Treaty with the Soviets since 1972 and is solidly in the communist orbit. In essence, the USSR is militarily committed to help Iraq.

       The Soviets have eight military facilities (or bases) in Iraq according to Robert Morris in his 1987 book, Our Globe Under Seige III. Morris quoted columnist Paul Scott who listed these facilities several years ago as:

       1) A major naval facility at Umn Qasr at the mouth of the Shaat-el Arab which flows into the Persian Gulf. This base includes maintenance facilities for ships and basing for equipment and ammunition. There are also boarding ramps for Hovercraft that can transport naval infantry from the base.

       2) The naval installations and facilities at Zubior and al Qurnah, the former on a body of water below the Euphrates River and the latter on the Tigris. Both ports can service Soviet warships.

       3) There are air bases at Sulaymaniyah in the northeast mosul in the north central sector of the country.

       Morris went on to describe how at the onset of the Iran/Iraq war, Western intelligence and military officials widely believed that Iraq intended to tie down the Iranian military forces, thus facilitating the dismantling of the Teheran regime — opening the way for a Soviet takeover. By 1985/86 there were 1000 Soviet military advisors in Iraq and the 1987 Defense Report states that this provision for arms for Baghdad is continuing. Today, between 800 and 900 Soviet advisors still remain in Iraq.

       Iraq has received more armament from the Communist bloc than any other third world country, so says the US Department of Defense. In 1985/86 they received over $3.5 billion in military aid. In 1979, President Hussein and Soviet Defense Minister Ustinov signed an agreement on military cooperation and strategic consultation ... get that, strategic consultation!!!

       Richardson went on that there is little doubt that the Soviets were apprised of the invasion before it happened, helped plan it and approved of it. There is no way communist puppet Saddam Hussein would have given the orders to invade Kuwait if it were not sanctioned by Gorbachev.

       The Soviet "condemnation" of Iraq must have created quite a guffaw in the Kremlin. It is obvious they believe the West can be bamboozled at will and we will still love them in the morning. The capture of Kuwait has always been on the communist agenda and now that rich little oil-filled gem is in the communist camp ... to stay.

       We are witnessing classic communist tactics in operation: the use of a common border to invade a pro-West country, the pushing forward until stiff resistance is met at Saudi Arabia. The Iraqis will then "compromise" by backing off at attacking the Saudis; the classic two steps forward, one step back scenario. It may not work out exactly this way but it will be close.

       It is highly improbable American troops will invade Kuwait; one needs only to look at a map to see the difficulties that would be encountered. The Saudis are not overjoyed to allow our aircraft the use of their air bases, much less permit an expeditionary force to attack an Arab neighbor. Defending Saudi Arabia will be permitted but serving as the launching area for an attack against an enemy that outnumbers you ten-to-one is bad logistics. Can you imagine the horrendous stink the hard-left would raise in this country if we did? The peaceniks, the Marxist college professors and the gullible students would scream, "Why should our boys die to protect the fortunes of turbaned sheiks and US oil interests?" The media would give them prime time attention.

       Time is on the side of Iraq. Sooner or later the Western powers will begin to "negotiate" with President Hussein and the new revolutionary government of Kuwait. Gorbachev may even offer to act as a neutral intermediary and Secretary of State James Baker will think it's a good idea. President Bush will take the honors for bringing everyone to the negotiating table and credit the sanctions as resolving the controversy. Once again oil will flow from Kuwait ... but the profits will then go into the pockets of the communists, just like it does in Angola. Everybody will be happy ... everybody except the Kuwaitis and Americans who are smart enough to know the communists are one step closer to America.

       The primary enemy is not Iraq ... it's the Soviet Union. If you look closely you will see the machiavellian-communist fingerprints all over the dead body of Kuwait.

H. Economic Implications Of The Iraqi Invasion

       The Middle East events of the past month or so have pushed the worldwide oil price up sharply (i.e. from $13.60 to $28.13 and back to $26.00, with sharp and violent fluctuations in-between). Hussein has at least temporarily achieved his goal of $25.00 a barrel oil. Facing potentially the third great oil price shock since the early '70s, the shock waves affecting a fragile US and world economy presently sinking into recession (or worse) could be dramatic. Some of the factors are:

       1) The US stock market, already looking toppy before the crisis, has since dropped over 200 points. Oil and gold stocks have of course been the exception, rising sharply in the wake of the invasion. The Japanese and other stock markets have dropped sharply.

       2) The USSR is the world's largest oil producer, receiving 40% of its hard currency income (i.e. $18 billion) from oil last year. Each dollar increase in the price of oil is worth about $1 billion in additional foreign exchange according to Roger Robinson, former economic director for the Reagan National Security Council. The higher price for gold will also add substantially to the Soviet's foreign exchange earnings.

       3) America, with 50% dependence on foreign oil and half of that from the Persian Gulf, is highly vulnerable to the destruction of the Persian Gulf oil fields. Iraqi destruction of the Saudi or UAE fields would plunge America into depression literally overnight. And to make matters worse, the US domestic petroleum industry is a basket case — it would take it five years and many new tax incentives to gear up for an increase in US oil production.

Conclusion

       Just as George Bush and the Liberal Eastern Establishment began to declare "peace was breaking out all over," and the liberal US Congress began to make massive cuts in the US defense spending; and Congressperson Patricia Schroeder introduced legislation to close down all of America's foreign military bases, and bring all of our troops home — the strangest thing happened — war broke out in the Persian Gulf.

       What exactly do the liberal disarmers think we should use against Saddam Hussein's Islamic hordes and their $20 billion in Soviet weapons? The Iraqi military invasion of Kuwait came just 24 hours after the House Armed Services Committee had shredded the US defense budget, voting to kill the B-2 Stealth bomber, cut SDI, and cut the US armed forces by 129,000 men — a $24 billion chop.

       All over the world the US has begun closing down bases, drawing down troop levels, eliminating weapons. If this continues, it will set the stage for war. When Hussein invaded Kuwait, America had a mere six naval vessels in the Persian Gulf, no bases in the region, very few weapons and no troops. If it takes 30 days to muster two divisions, what would happen if the Soviets (with their vast military superiority over the US) moved against the Persian Gulf oil fields in the late '90s as Brezhnev promised they would and this writer believes they will. The answer is, they will conquer the Middle East while America is scrambling to deploy the first contingents of our Rapid Deployment Force.

       What happens when America no longer has its bases in the Philippines or South Korea and the communists move to cut the vital shipping lines through the South China Sea or the North Koreans invade South Korea? America will be as helpless to impact events or protect our own interests as we have been to date in Kuwait. Even if the Russians and Chinese have become good guys (and they haven't) and communism is dead (and it isn't) there are still a half dozen regional powers which are deeply hostile to US Interests (each with an army 25-50% the size of America's present army — before the upcoming 25% cut by George Bush): North Korea, Vietnam, Iran, Iraq, Syria, and Cuba.

       The Bush Administration advocates of US/Soviet "partnership" and "merger" are beginning to talk about joint condemnation statements of Iraq by the US and Soviet "cooperation" to find a solution, and possibly "a new oil partnership" between America and Russia, whereby we send our oil companies to Russia to drill for and produce oil, and Americans get to consume that Russian oil — a "natural partnership" they are calling it between the number one oil producer and the number one oil consumer. Forgotten by these liberal "useful idiots" (as Lenin called them) is the fact that the Persian Gulf oil fields are threatened today by billions of dollars in Soviet Weapons in the hands of Islamic radicals who were armed and trained by our "new partners." Soviet communism has helped to topple another country and has established a solid blockhead on the shores of the Persian Gulf.

       In the meantime, watch Saddam Hussein and the Persian Gulf oil fields. The immediate crisis could flicker and die out or it could turn into a Middle East firestorm. The time bomb is ticking!

       Due to lack of space a few paragraphs were edited out of this reprint. A copy of this complete text is available to those requesting it.

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